Page	Error	Person	Payout
About	Was unclear about the required size of error for a bounty, leading to a prima facie contradiction.	Loki Sempere	$10 to EA Funds
/psych	Overstated the consensus against Milgram. It's still shaky, and not really about obedience, but it's wrong to say there's no evidence, just that the original experiments were terrible.	Matt Edwards	$5
/gists	I said "constant time" instead of "constant time complexity". The function in question takes 3x more time to process 2^64 than it does 2^0, hence the intermediate payout between nitpick and falsehood.	Loki Sempere	$5

Bet	Bettor	Odds	Resolution
Jun 2022: Everything Everywhere All at Once to win no Oscars besides Visual Editing. (0-1 Oscars overall)	CR	1:1, nice dinner	To CR!
July 2021: Abaluck RCT shows >15% reduction in covid transmission.	MH	1:1, $100 to Givewell	To me.
June 2020: Biden wins election.	CR	1:1. Nice restaurant dinner.	To me.
Jan 2016: Trump finishes term.	CR	1:1. Nice bottle of whisky.	To me.

I suppose this should all be multiplied by the confidence level of the post. Factual and logical errors are most likely to resolve cleanly; I probably won't cough up if you just tell me I'm an idiot for believing or not believing in e.g. Meinongianism. That would get a smile.

I'm not sure how to handle claims that have changed truth-value since I made them; half of this blog might be false if you return in 30 years. Leaning towards $1 to $5.