Bounty
Change my mind
I offer bounties for errors:
- A thankyou for nitpicks (ambiguities, misreadings, exceptions, technicalities).
- $5 for an error which cleanly falsifies a sentence.
- $50 for an error which cleanly invalidates a post.
Payouts
| Page | Error | Person | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
| About | Was unclear about the required size of error for a bounty, leading to a prima facie contradiction. | Loki Sempere | $10 to EA Funds |
| /psych | Overstated the consensus against Milgram. It's still shaky, and not really about obedience, but it's wrong to say there's no evidence, just that the original experiments were terrible. | Matt Edwards | $5 |
| /gists | I said "constant time" instead of "constant time complexity". The function in question takes 3x more time to process 2^64 than it does 2^0, hence the intermediate payout between nitpick and falsehood. | Loki Sempere | $5 |
Bets
| Bet | Bettor | Odds | Resolution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2022: Everything Everywhere All at Once to win no Oscars besides Visual Editing. (0-1 Oscars overall) | CR | 1:1, nice dinner | To CR! |
| July 2021: Abaluck RCT shows >15% reduction in covid transmission. | MH | 1:1, $100 to Givewell | To me. |
| June 2020: Biden wins election. | CR | 1:1. Nice restaurant dinner. | To me. |
| Jan 2016: Trump finishes term. | CR | 1:1. Nice bottle of whisky. | To me. |
Small print
I am arbiter obviously.
I suppose this should all be multiplied by the confidence level of the post. Factual and logical errors are most likely to resolve cleanly; I probably won't cough up if you just tell me I'm an idiot for believing or not believing in e.g. Meinongianism. That would get a smile.
I'm not sure how to handle claims that have changed truth-value since I made them; half of this blog might be false if you return in 30 years. Leaning towards $1 to $5.
I suppose this should all be multiplied by the confidence level of the post. Factual and logical errors are most likely to resolve cleanly; I probably won't cough up if you just tell me I'm an idiot for believing or not believing in e.g. Meinongianism. That would get a smile.
I'm not sure how to handle claims that have changed truth-value since I made them; half of this blog might be false if you return in 30 years. Leaning towards $1 to $5.