Can policymakers trust forecasters?
Arb is my research consultancy. We are usually hiring.
The Institute for Progress just published our elaboration on our previous work on experts vs amateur forecasters.
- We cut a bunch of introductory material which you can see here.
- Most of the goodness is hidden in the links, like the literature review which compares each pair of forecasting methods.
- See also this list of forecasting platforms open to you.
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Tags: arb, forecasting